Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +320 MASS -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +19 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -15.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-36.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -12.2 (-6.8) | 144.6 (-33.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -13.2 (-5.8) | 139.4 (-28.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -14.5 (-4.5) | 142.8 (-31.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -14.2 (-4.8) | 141.8 (-30.8) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | MASS 120 – 118 FOR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | MASS 66 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | FOR 77 – 67 MASS |
| Mar 3, 2022 | MASS 81 – 73 FOR |
| Mar 1, 2022 | FOR 85 – 73 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-12 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 6-4 |
| Home | 2-5 | 4-3 |
| Away | 0-6 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.8 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#333) | 5.4 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#290) | 0.50 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#327) | 1.15 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#310) | 0.524 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 23.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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