So let the words of our mouth and the meditation of our heart be acceptable in thy sight, O Fari! "By the RIvers of Babylon"-The Melodians
Massachusetts Minutemen
66 64
FINAL Conference
Fordham Rams
Atlantic 10 Conference · Mullins Center · March 7, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -10.0 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money MASS -480 / FOR +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +2 130 Won
Massey MASS -12.1 (-10.1)
Massey Totals 149.5 (-19.5)
Bradley-Terry 87%
Weighted B-T 93%
Baseline Plus ML MASS -12.2 (-10.2) 146.1 (-16.1) 86%
Efficiency Plus ML MASS -8.8 (-6.8) 144.5 (-14.5) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -11.4 (-9.4) 144.3 (-14.3) 86%
Baseline ML MASS -11.7 (-9.7) 143.0 (-13.0) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2025 MASS 120118 FOR
Feb 9, 2023 FOR 7767 MASS
Mar 3, 2022 MASS 8173 FOR
Mar 1, 2022 FOR 8573 MASS
Feb 3, 2021 MASS 6054 FOR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS FOR
Overall 20-11 13-20
Conference 11-7 6-12
Home 13-3 6-11
Away 4-6 4-6
Neutral 3-2 3-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.5 70.5
Avg Pts Against 70.7 72.4
Massey 7.5 (#79) -1.4 (#183)
Bradley-Terry 1.00 (#97) -0.27 (#202)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.42 (#93) -0.48 (#213)
RPI 0.560 (#73) 0.483 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS FOR
FG% 45.4% 40.8%
3PT% 31.2% 32.1%
REB / G 38.8 37.0
OREB / G 13.7 12.8
AST / TO 1.40 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 47.6%
TOV% 16.2% 18.5%
ORB% 37.1% 32.3%
FT Rate 24.9% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 19.4%
DRB% 70.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 31.4%

Game Analysis

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