Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -480 FOR +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -12.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -8.8 (-6.8) | 144.5 (-14.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -11.4 (-9.4) | 144.3 (-14.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -11.7 (-9.7) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -12.2 (-10.2) | 146.1 (-16.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | MASS 120 – 118 FOR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | FOR 77 – 67 MASS |
| Mar 3, 2022 | MASS 81 – 73 FOR |
| Mar 1, 2022 | FOR 85 – 73 MASS |
| Feb 3, 2021 | MASS 60 – 54 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#79) | -1.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#97) | -0.27 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#93) | -0.48 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#73) | 0.483 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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