Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -600 FOR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -18.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -13.8 (-7.8) | 135.7 (-21.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -14.5 (-8.5) | 139.4 (-25.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -14.1 (-8.1) | 136.5 (-22.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -13.8 (-7.8) | 134.7 (-20.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | MASS 120 – 118 FOR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | MASS 66 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | FOR 77 – 67 MASS |
| Mar 3, 2022 | MASS 81 – 73 FOR |
| Mar 1, 2022 | FOR 85 – 73 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-7 | 2-12 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 2-11 |
| Home | 4-3 | 2-5 |
| Away | 3-3 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 51.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#96) | -11.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | -1.79 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#129) | -3.31 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#171) | 0.408 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 40.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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