Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -1.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.6 (+5.4) | 147.2 (+6.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.4 (+6.6) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.7 (+7.3) | 147.6 (+6.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.8 (+7.2) | 148.6 (+5.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2025 | MASS 120 – 118 FOR |
| Mar 7, 2024 | MASS 66 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | FOR 77 – 67 MASS |
| Mar 1, 2022 | FOR 85 – 73 MASS |
| Feb 3, 2021 | MASS 60 – 54 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#202) | -0.5 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#196) | -0.06 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#197) | 0.06 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#203) | 0.494 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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