Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -115 MASS -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +2 | 238 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -2.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+82.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -1.2 (-3.2) | 151.2 (+86.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -1.5 (-3.5) | 147.3 (+90.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -1.7 (-3.7) | 150.2 (+87.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -1.3 (-3.3) | 152.2 (+85.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MASS 66 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 9, 2023 | FOR 77 – 67 MASS |
| Mar 3, 2022 | MASS 81 – 73 FOR |
| Mar 1, 2022 | FOR 85 – 73 MASS |
| Feb 3, 2021 | MASS 60 – 54 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#253) | -4.0 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#213) | -1.04 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#222) | -1.28 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#212) | 0.456 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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