Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CP +450 UCR -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -21.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -14.2 (-2.8) | 131.6 (-8.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -13.2 (-3.8) | 131.3 (-8.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -15.2 (-1.8) | 131.5 (-8.5) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -15.6 (-1.4) | 131.9 (-8.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CP 94 – 87 UCR |
| Dec 7, 2025 | UCR 88 – 84 CP |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CP 96 – 83 UCR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CP 112 – 100 UCR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCR 80 – 62 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-4 |
| Home | 3-8 | 5-4 |
| Away | 0-11 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#338) | 8.6 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#330) | -0.18 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.18 (#332) | -0.33 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.346 (#339) | 0.460 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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