Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -275 GRAM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -8.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -6.7 (-12.7) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -6.8 (-12.8) | 136.7 (+13.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.3 (-12.3) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.9 (-11.9) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 12-12 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 9-6 |
| Home | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#221) | -8.9 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#194) | -1.87 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#212) | -2.84 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#170) | 0.419 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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