Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SF +125 BYU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -1.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -0.2 (-8.8) | 142.4 (-7.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -0.7 (-9.7) | 139.5 (-4.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -0.4 (-9.4) | 143.7 (-8.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -0.5 (-9.5) | 142.5 (-7.5) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-14 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 10-3 |
| Home | 3-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 7.0 (#76) | 11.3 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#113) | 2.83 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#126) | 3.63 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#86) | 0.626 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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