Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SF -2.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -3.0 (-5.0) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -2.4 (-4.4) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -3.7 (-5.7) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SF -3.5 (-5.5) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BYU 79 – 73 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#41) | 11.3 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#23) | 2.22 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#24) | 3.03 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#15) | 0.634 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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