Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -400 SF +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -11.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -11.4 (-5.4) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -9.3 (-3.3) | 144.3 (+7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.4 (-6.4) | 145.3 (+6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -11.2 (-5.2) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-7 | 11-14 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 4-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 3-5 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#24) | 4.6 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#18) | 0.39 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#21) | 0.49 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#8) | 0.506 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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