Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SF -3.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -2.7 (+9.3) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -2.4 (+9.6) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -2.8 (+9.2) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -2.7 (+9.3) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BYU 79 – 73 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#23) | 9.2 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#40) | 1.83 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#28) | 2.42 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#33) | 0.592 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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