Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SF -111 BYU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | SF -1.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -1.3 (+6.7) | 147.6 (+8.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -1.9 (+6.1) | 145.9 (+10.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -1.4 (+6.6) | 146.3 (+9.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -1.0 (+7.0) | 148.0 (+8.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BYU 79 – 73 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#112) | 6.0 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#119) | 0.90 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#119) | 1.40 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#162) | 0.537 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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