Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -250 SF +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +26 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -5.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -5.3 (+20.7) | 148.8 (-0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -5.3 (+20.7) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.7 (+20.3) | 150.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -5.5 (+20.5) | 151.8 (-3.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SF 73 – 59 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BYU 79 – 73 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#83) | 4.4 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#122) | 0.75 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#106) | 0.92 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.509 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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