Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -140 SF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | BYU -3.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -3.6 (-17.6) | 144.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -4.0 (-18.0) | 142.9 (-10.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -3.7 (-17.7) | 145.2 (-13.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.0 (-18.0) | 145.4 (-13.4) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | BYU 87 – 61 SF |
| Jan 22, 2023 | SF 82 – 74 BYU |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SF 75 – 63 BYU |
| Jan 16, 2022 | BYU 71 – 69 SF |
| Feb 26, 2021 | BYU 79 – 73 SF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#42) | 10.5 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#46) | 1.99 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#32) | 2.69 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#13) | 0.597 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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