Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | USC -700 WSU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | USC -18.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -15.9 (-7.9) | 138.5 (+23.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -14.0 (-6.0) | 143.3 (+18.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -16.6 (-8.6) | 142.3 (+19.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -16.1 (-8.1) | 137.5 (+24.5) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 16.9 (#10) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#25) | 1.11 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#23) | 1.46 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#25) | 0.506 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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