We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Stabler Arena · January 17, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BUCK -1.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money LEH +110 / BUCK -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total LEH win
Actual BUCK +16 138 Lost
Massey LEH -3.9 (-19.9) — —
Massey Totals — 139.8 (-1.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LEH -3.4 (-19.4) 140.7 (-2.7) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LEH -3.2 (-19.2) 141.1 (-3.1) 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LEH -4.4 (-20.4) 144.3 (-6.3) 65% ✗
Baseline ML LEH -3.5 (-19.5) 142.0 (-4.0) 64% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 LEH 89 – 79 BUCK
Jan 3, 2026 BUCK 72 – 65 LEH
Feb 18, 2025 BUCK 67 – 50 LEH
Jan 3, 2025 LEH 66 – 64 BUCK
Feb 13, 2024 LEH 71 – 63 BUCK

Game Analysis

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