Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Alumni Hall (Navy) · January 17, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NAVY -6.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money NAVY -250 / AMER +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total NAVY win
Actual NAVY +12 130 Won
Massey NAVY -2.4 (+9.6) — —
Massey Totals — 157.2 (-27.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NAVY -6.2 (+5.8) 153.2 (-23.2) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NAVY -8.9 (+3.1) 145.5 (-15.5) 84% ✓
Baseline ML NAVY -8.1 (+3.9) 148.2 (-18.2) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 NAVY 82 – 73 AMER
Jan 13, 2026 AMER 65 – 51 NAVY
Mar 12, 2025 AMER 74 – 52 NAVY
Feb 27, 2025 NAVY 68 – 60 AMER
Jan 3, 2025 NAVY 81 – 58 AMER

Game Analysis

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