Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | RID +230 SIE -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -9.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.7 (+3.7) | 140.4 (+5.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.4 (+5.4) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -7.0 (+5.0) | 140.3 (+5.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -6.1 (+4.1) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 RID |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SIE 74 – 65 RID |
| Mar 11, 2025 | RID 78 – 76 SIE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RID 61 – 59 SIE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RID 91 – 50 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-5 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-4 |
| Home | 1-8 | 6-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#302) | 3.4 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#284) | 2.33 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#285) | 2.94 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#251) | 0.602 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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