Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -800 CAL +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UTAH -12.7 (-21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -11.2 (-20.2) | 134.8 (+0.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -9.1 (-18.1) | 130.9 (+4.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -11.5 (-20.5) | 133.6 (+1.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -11.1 (-20.1) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CAL 79 – 72 UTAH |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 59 CAL |
| Feb 5, 2023 | UTAH 61 – 46 CAL |
| Dec 30, 2022 | UTAH 58 – 43 CAL |
| Feb 19, 2022 | UTAH 60 – 58 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#70) | -2.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | -0.52 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#80) | -0.72 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#148) | 0.466 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.