Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -450 W&M +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -11.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -9.6 (-14.6) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -9.3 (-14.3) | 133.1 (-0.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -9.8 (-14.8) | 133.7 (-0.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -9.3 (-14.3) | 136.2 (-3.2) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | DREX 64 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 15, 2025 | W&M 72 – 59 DREX |
| Feb 7, 2025 | DREX 86 – 66 W&M |
| Jan 6, 2024 | DREX 77 – 55 W&M |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DREX 66 – 56 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 4-6 |
| Home | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#145) | -7.4 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#203) | -1.04 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#199) | -1.78 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#234) | 0.461 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 81.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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