Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | L-MD -110 LAF +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -1.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -1.5 (-3.5) | 150.9 (-8.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -1.2 (-3.2) | 150.5 (-8.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -1.0 (-3.0) | 150.8 (-8.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | L-MD 68 – 54 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LAF 79 – 64 L-MD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | L-MD 71 – 58 LAF |
| Jan 23, 2025 | LAF 80 – 59 L-MD |
| Feb 15, 2024 | L-MD 79 – 64 LAF |
Game Analysis
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