Betting Lines
| Spread | MORG -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MORG -350 COPP +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | MORG -18.7 (-28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORG -15.8 (-25.8) | 151.6 (+16.4) | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORG -15.3 (-25.3) | 158.6 (+9.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORG -15.5 (-25.5) | 154.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MORG -16.0 (-26.0) | 152.7 (+15.3) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MORG 70 – 66 COPP |
| Jan 31, 2026 | MORG 89 – 80 COPP |
| Mar 7, 2025 | COPP 82 – 75 MORG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MORG 80 – 64 COPP |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORG 78 – 60 COPP |
Game Analysis
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