Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE +275 VT -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +4 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -2.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -3.5 (-0.5) | 139.9 (-15.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -2.1 (-1.9) | 134.8 (-10.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -3.3 (-0.7) | 139.2 (-15.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -3.0 (-1.0) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | WAKE 95 – 89 VT |
| Feb 21, 2026 | VT 82 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WAKE 81 – 78 VT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WAKE 72 – 63 VT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | VT 87 – 76 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 15-7 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-4 |
| Home | 5-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#98) | 10.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#235) | 2.94 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#213) | 3.89 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#243) | 0.611 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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