Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | VT -110 WAKE -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +6 | 184 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -1.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+29.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -0.6 (-6.6) | 148.8 (+35.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -2.1 (-8.1) | 146.1 (+37.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -2.1 (-8.1) | 146.3 (+37.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -1.9 (-7.9) | 147.6 (+36.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | VT 82 – 63 WAKE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WAKE 81 – 78 VT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WAKE 72 – 63 VT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | VT 87 – 76 WAKE |
| Dec 30, 2023 | WAKE 86 – 63 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#52) | 9.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#46) | 1.42 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#47) | 1.82 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#52) | 0.547 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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