Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | USD +180 SCU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -5.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -5.5 (-0.5) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.3 (-1.7) | 137.4 (-5.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -5.9 (-0.1) | 140.5 (-8.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -7.4 (+1.4) | 136.3 (-4.3) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | SCU 85 – 73 USD |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SCU 98 – 70 USD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SCU 93 – 70 USD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SCU 81 – 80 USD |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SCU 104 – 79 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-11 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 2-7 | 4-5 |
| Home | 0-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#292) | 0.5 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#267) | 1.52 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#281) | 1.32 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#236) | 0.603 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USD | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 43.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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