Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SMC +900 GONZ -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -13.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -10.3 (-3.7) | 148.0 (-16.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -10.8 (-3.2) | 147.0 (-15.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -11.4 (-2.6) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.2 (-2.8) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SMC 70 – 59 GONZ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | GONZ 73 – 65 SMC |
| Mar 12, 2025 | GONZ 58 – 51 SMC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SMC 74 – 67 GONZ |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SMC 62 – 58 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-10 | 31-1 |
| Conference | 4-6 | 15-0 |
| Home | 9-3 | 12-0 |
| Away | 2-3 | 7-0 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 12-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 91.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#94) | 22.0 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#91) | 5.31 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#100) | 7.88 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#96) | 0.675 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 55.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 60.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.