Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -270 TAR +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -4.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.2 (+1.8) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.1 (+0.9) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -5.0 (+1.0) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -3.7 (+2.3) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 10-10 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 5-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#240) | -5.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#311) | -3.19 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#305) | -4.22 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#340) | 0.349 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 18.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 42.0% |
Game Analysis
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