Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -400 EVAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +31 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -12.1 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.6 (+22.4) | 128.9 (+12.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -8.9 (+22.1) | 128.6 (+12.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -8.8 (+22.2) | 129.0 (+12.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.3 (+21.7) | 129.0 (+12.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BRAD 94 – 90 EVAN |
| Dec 30, 2025 | BRAD 76 – 68 EVAN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | BRAD 80 – 74 EVAN |
| Feb 8, 2024 | EVAN 73 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 50 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#109) | -5.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#122) | -0.65 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#140) | -0.84 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#93) | 0.452 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.