Betting Lines
| Spread | HAW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | HAW -150 CSUB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | HAW -6.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -3.0 (-14.0) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -2.5 (-13.5) | 135.0 (+20.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -2.5 (-13.5) | 137.9 (+17.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -2.9 (-13.9) | 137.1 (+17.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HAW 89 – 74 CSUB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | HAW 98 – 71 CSUB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CSUB 76 – 64 HAW |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HAW 81 – 70 CSUB |
| Mar 10, 2024 | HAW 74 – 57 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-10 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 9-2 |
| Away | 4-4 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#104) | 0.7 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#195) | 0.63 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#171) | 1.10 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#167) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 41.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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