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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–4 on winners
spread MAE 10.9
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tarleton State
@
Weber State
|
+10.6 | 141.1 | 84% | 79–94 | ✓ |
Cal State Northridge
@
Cal State Fullerton
|
-0.1 | 146.0 | 51% | 77–85 | ✗ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Towson
|
-4.0 | 144.5 | 44% | 69–72 | ✗ |
St. John's
@
UConn
|
+10.5 | 145.8 | 81% | 74–70 | ✗ |
Sacramento State
@
Idaho State
|
+1.0 | 125.2 | 40% | 70–65 | ✗ |
Western Carolina
@
Samford
|
+1.0 | 154.7 | 61% | 78–82 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
La Salle
|
+2.9 | 149.2 | 69% | 83–90 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Alcorn State
|
+2.8 | 141.6 | 72% | 48–82 | ✓ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Southern
|
+21.3 | 147.3 | 90% | 61–102 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.