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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.6
12 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida State
@
Louisville
|
+0.7 | 138.5 | 56% | 78–65 | ✗ |
The Citadel
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+6.5 | 158.2 | 79% | 73–87 | ✓ |
VMI
@
East Tennessee State
|
+4.1 | 145.7 | 68% | 81–92 | ✓ |
Kansas
@
Baylor
|
+9.2 | 144.6 | 85% | 69–77 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
Air Force
|
+0.5 | 136.7 | 39% | 77–58 | ✗ |
Grambling
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+4.1 | 133.7 | 68% | 50–59 | ✓ |
New Mexico
@
UNLV
|
+10.1 | 134.5 | 84% | 46–53 | ✓ |
UNC Wilmington
@
Towson
|
-1.8 | 144.5 | 43% | 74–78 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Kent State
|
+3.9 | 158.1 | 71% | 81–84 | ✓ |
High Point
@
Longwood
|
+0.2 | 130.7 | 56% | 54–75 | ✓ |
Purdue
@
Ohio State
|
+4.3 | 136.3 | 70% | 67–65 | ✗ |
Kansas State
@
Oklahoma
|
+12.9 | 133.8 | 87% | 50–76 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.