Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -225 PUR +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -5.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -6.7 (-8.7) | 140.8 (-8.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.3 (-6.3) | 136.3 (-4.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -6.2 (-8.2) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.1 (-8.1) | 141.5 (-9.5) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 PUR |
| Jan 22, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 PUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OSU 73 – 69 PUR |
| Mar 11, 2023 | PUR 80 – 66 OSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PUR 82 – 55 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 18-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#22) | 12.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#15) | 2.47 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#12) | 3.64 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#16) | 0.604 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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