Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -700 UNM +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +7 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -15.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (-40.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -10.3 (-3.3) | 138.1 (-39.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -10.1 (-3.1) | 134.5 (-35.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -10.3 (-3.3) | 136.2 (-37.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -10.5 (-3.5) | 138.8 (-39.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | UNM 89 – 61 UNLV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UNM 81 – 67 UNLV |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNM 75 – 73 UNLV |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNLV 80 – 77 UNM |
| Jan 10, 2024 | UNLV 83 – 73 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 6-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-15 |
| Home | 8-4 | 1-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | -11.0 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#198) | -0.65 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#183) | -1.00 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#201) | 0.471 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 39.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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