Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | KENT -163 BUF +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -4.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -5.4 (-2.4) | 157.8 (+7.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -3.9 (-0.9) | 158.1 (+6.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -5.1 (-2.1) | 160.9 (+4.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -5.1 (-2.1) | 158.4 (+6.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-5 |
| Home | 9-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#63) | 6.5 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#137) | 0.19 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#120) | 0.20 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#132) | 0.518 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 44.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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