Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -350 KU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +8 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -13.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -13.2 (-5.2) | 145.6 (+0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -9.2 (-1.2) | 144.6 (+1.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -13.8 (-5.8) | 147.1 (-1.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -12.1 (-4.1) | 143.5 (+2.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | KU 80 – 62 BAY |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BAY 81 – 70 KU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BAY 82 – 74 KU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | KU 64 – 61 BAY |
| Feb 18, 2023 | KU 87 – 71 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-1 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 23.8 (#1) | 13.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.75 (#2) | 3.42 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.79 (#2) | 4.27 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#20) | 0.638 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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