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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–10 on winners
spread MAE 11.1
27 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-2.4 | 133.0 | 48% | 49–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.6 | 139.7 | 80% | 63–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.3 | 141.6 | 67% | 70–81 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.7 | 126.2 | 46% | 97–91 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.8 | 145.9 | 23% | 56–58 | ✗ |
|
|
+2.8 | 133.3 | 56% | 67–53 | ✗ |
|
|
+7.0 | 143.4 | 78% | 57–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.6 | 135.9 | 53% | 63–59 | ✗ |
|
|
-11.2 | 138.2 | 15% | 72–58 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 147.2 | 64% | 79–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+15.2 | 160.9 | 88% | 72–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.8 | 140.6 | 41% | 71–81 | ✗ |
|
|
+6.7 | 148.0 | 74% | 69–57 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.6 | 150.0 | 81% | 65–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.4 | 145.6 | 79% | 74–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 160.0 | 66% | 105–75 | ✗ |
|
|
+10.9 | 132.1 | 85% | 69–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.8 | 140.0 | 72% | 73–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.6 | 140.8 | 67% | 64–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.4 | 133.6 | 53% | 64–46 | ✗ |
|
|
+16.7 | 127.0 | 90% | 58–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.2 | 145.8 | 46% | 59–48 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.0 | 136.7 | 15% | 78–66 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.9 | 156.4 | 45% | 83–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.5 | 135.0 | 64% | 54–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.7 | 133.5 | 37% | 69–71 | ✗ |
|
|
+1.7 | 129.2 | 60% | 54–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.