Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -450 USD +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -14.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -10.9 (-7.9) | 130.9 (+10.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -10.9 (-7.9) | 132.1 (+8.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -10.2 (-7.2) | 134.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -11.8 (-8.8) | 131.9 (+9.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 3-11 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 2-7 |
| Home | 8-3 | 0-5 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | -8.1 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#84) | -1.43 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#111) | -2.13 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#65) | 0.451 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 18.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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