Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +100 ETSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +11 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -0.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-44.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -1.0 (-12.0) | 149.2 (-42.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -0.2 (-10.8) | 145.8 (-38.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -0.8 (-11.8) | 148.9 (-41.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -0.5 (-11.5) | 150.0 (-43.0) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 4-13 | 8-7 |
| Home | 6-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#185) | 1.8 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#173) | 0.20 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#155) | 0.80 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#172) | 0.523 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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