Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +130 RAD -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +6 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -1.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (+60.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -0.5 (-6.5) | 131.1 (+56.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -0.7 (-5.3) | 126.2 (+61.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.3 (-6.3) | 130.4 (+57.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.2 (-6.2) | 133.3 (+54.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 25, 2023 | RAD 67 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RAD 63 – 55 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CAM 70 – 58 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#235) | -2.4 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#238) | -1.12 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#257) | -1.46 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#211) | 0.484 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 26.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 4.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 15.6% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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