Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -8.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -7.2 (+4.8) | 126.2 (+1.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -6.3 (+5.7) | 122.3 (+5.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -6.3 (+5.7) | 130.4 (-2.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -6.6 (+5.4) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 25, 2023 | RAD 67 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RAD 63 – 55 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Mar 4, 2021 | CAM 78 – 60 RAD |
Game Analysis
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