Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -138 CAM +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +18 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -3.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.8 (-19.8) | 129.7 (+8.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -2.9 (-20.9) | 127.8 (+10.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -1.7 (-19.7) | 129.8 (+8.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.0 (-20.0) | 131.4 (+6.6) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 25, 2023 | RAD 67 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RAD 63 – 55 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CAM 70 – 58 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#202) | -3.6 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#242) | -0.83 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#250) | -1.20 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#168) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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