Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -188 CAM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +2 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -7.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -4.3 (-2.3) | 135.7 (-3.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.8 (-1.8) | 132.3 (-0.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -4.3 (-2.3) | 135.7 (-3.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -4.3 (-2.3) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Jan 19, 2023 | RAD 63 – 55 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CAM 70 – 58 RAD |
| Mar 4, 2021 | CAM 78 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#168) | -3.7 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#205) | -0.93 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#207) | -1.04 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.463 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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