I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Radford Highlanders
71 – 72
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires Big South
Campbell Fighting Camels
Big South Conference · Bojangles Coliseum (Neutral) · March 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RAD -3.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money RAD -170 / CAM +143
Model Predictions
Spread Total RAD win
Actual CAM +1 143 Lost
Massey RAD -3.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 129.7 (+13.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RAD -1.3 (-2.3) 133.6 (+9.4) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RAD -1.7 (-2.7) 129.5 (+13.5) 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RAD -1.5 (-2.5) 134.7 (+8.3) 56% ✗
Baseline ML RAD -1.7 (-2.7) 134.5 (+8.5) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2023 RAD 67 – 65 CAM
Jan 19, 2023 RAD 63 – 55 CAM
Feb 16, 2022 RAD 71 – 67 CAM
Jan 15, 2022 CAM 70 – 58 RAD
Mar 4, 2021 CAM 78 – 60 RAD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RAD CAM
Overall 21-15 16-18
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 10-3 8-6
Away 7-10 4-10
Neutral 4-2 4-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.2 68.7
Avg Pts Against 66.2 69.0
Massey -0.1 (#171) -3.1 (#225)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#198) -0.85 (#254)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#207) -0.92 (#246)
RPI 0.510 (#157) 0.472 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors RAD CAM
FG% 45.4% 46.0%
3PT% 34.7% 32.5%
REB / G 33.0 31.2
OREB / G 10.0 7.4
AST / TO 0.96 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.1% 52.3%
TOV% 18.6% 18.4%
ORB% 30.4% 23.9%
FT Rate 19.8% 27.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 20.6% 18.5%
DRB% 72.3% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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