Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +110 RAD -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -1.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -2.4 (-5.6) | 131.6 (-13.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -1.6 (-6.4) | 128.2 (-10.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.5 (-5.5) | 132.7 (-14.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.3 (-5.7) | 134.6 (-16.6) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2023 | CAM 72 – 71 RAD |
| Feb 25, 2023 | RAD 67 – 65 CAM |
| Feb 16, 2022 | RAD 71 – 67 CAM |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CAM 70 – 58 RAD |
| Mar 4, 2021 | CAM 78 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#240) | 1.3 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#271) | -0.42 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#253) | -0.42 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#289) | 0.480 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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