And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
The Dedmon Center · February 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -3.0 Home covered
O/U 122.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total RAD win
Actual RAD +4 138 Won
Massey CAM -3.4 (+7.4) — —
Massey Totals — 120.5 (+17.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 31% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CAM -1.9 (+5.9) 128.1 (+9.9) 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -2.6 (+6.6) 126.3 (+11.7) 45% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -2.4 (+6.4) 128.0 (+10.0) 39% ✗
Baseline ML CAM -1.7 (+5.7) 128.7 (+9.3) 41% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 4, 2023 CAM 72 – 71 RAD
Feb 25, 2023 RAD 67 – 65 CAM
Jan 19, 2023 RAD 63 – 55 CAM
Jan 15, 2022 CAM 70 – 58 RAD
Mar 4, 2021 CAM 78 – 60 RAD

Game Analysis

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