Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MIZ -225 SC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -8.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -7.9 (+3.1) | 140.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -5.3 (+5.7) | 141.6 (+9.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -7.7 (+3.3) | 143.6 (+7.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -7.4 (+3.6) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MIZ 78 – 59 SC |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MIZ 101 – 71 SC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | SC 72 – 64 MIZ |
| Jan 13, 2024 | SC 71 – 69 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MIZ 83 – 74 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 3-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#28) | 7.7 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#14) | 1.56 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.07 (#20) | 2.13 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.689 (#1) | 0.590 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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