Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +170 BALL -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BALL -4.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BALL -2.3 (+12.3) | 139.7 (+12.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -1.8 (+11.8) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -3.1 (+13.1) | 141.1 (+10.9) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -2.5 (+12.5) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | M-OH 86 – 77 BALL |
| Mar 7, 2025 | M-OH 79 – 66 BALL |
| Jan 8, 2025 | M-OH 80 – 72 BALL |
| Feb 17, 2024 | M-OH 80 – 59 BALL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | M-OH 87 – 80 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-11 | 10-13 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 8-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#257) | 1.4 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#259) | -0.12 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#269) | 0.04 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#296) | 0.513 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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