Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -600 MD +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +24 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -9.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.2 (+13.8) | 144.8 (+5.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -8.6 (+15.4) | 139.7 (+10.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.1 (+13.9) | 141.9 (+8.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -10.7 (+13.3) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | MICH 101 – 83 MD |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MICH 81 – 80 MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | MD 71 – 65 MICH |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MD 64 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MD 64 – 58 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#8) | 10.9 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.94 (#5) | 2.20 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.46 (#6) | 3.11 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#5) | 0.610 (#33) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.