Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -125 MD +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -0.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -1.4 (-7.4) | 150.0 (-14.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -0.8 (-6.8) | 149.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -1.6 (-7.6) | 150.6 (-14.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.0 (-8.0) | 150.4 (-14.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | MICH 101 – 83 MD |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MICH 81 – 80 MD |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MD 64 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MD 64 – 58 MICH |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MICH 81 – 46 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 17-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 81.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#22) | 19.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#17) | 2.64 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.71 (#16) | 3.66 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#13) | 0.594 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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