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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
19–6 on winners
spread MAE 9.6
25 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Providence
@
Creighton
|
+9.0 | 151.7 | 81% | 74–70 | ✗ |
Clemson
@
Georgia Tech
|
+0.8 | 135.4 | 58% | 65–83 | ✓ |
Radford
@
Campbell
|
-1.4 | 134.0 | 39% | 67–61 | ✓ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Valparaiso
|
-12.3 | 128.3 | 16% | 75–39 | ✓ |
Wake Forest
@
North Carolina
|
+7.0 | 133.9 | 72% | 73–80 | ✓ |
Saint Joseph's
@
George Mason
|
+5.1 | 149.1 | 79% | 85–87 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Georgia
|
+0.9 | 146.5 | 62% | 62–63 | ✓ |
UNC Asheville
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+1.8 | 146.8 | 63% | 57–84 | ✓ |
Furman
@
VMI
|
-7.3 | 158.8 | 31% | 73–74 | ✗ |
SE Louisiana
@
McNeese
|
-2.9 | 143.0 | 26% | 92–88 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
Stephen F. Austin
|
+11.9 | 150.2 | 86% | 74–86 | ✓ |
Tulsa
@
Houston
|
+12.5 | 127.0 | 83% | 59–86 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
Wisconsin
|
+7.6 | 134.2 | 79% | 52–68 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
LSU New Orleans
|
+4.4 | 135.7 | 73% | 68–87 | ✓ |
Nicholls
@
Houston Christian
|
-7.1 | 150.7 | 21% | 92–83 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Samford
|
-0.0 | 145.8 | 52% | 70–64 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
Illinois State
|
-8.1 | 134.3 | 21% | 56–71 | ✗ |
Colorado
@
Washington
|
-13.5 | 140.1 | 16% | 80–84 | ✗ |
Fresno State
@
Boise State
|
+15.8 | 135.5 | 90% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Auburn
@
Arkansas
|
+8.3 | 152.7 | 81% | 73–75 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Sam Houston
|
-2.0 | 137.3 | 59% | 57–64 | ✗ |
Eastern Michigan
@
Buffalo
|
+14.5 | 151.1 | 89% | 77–92 | ✓ |
San José State
@
New Mexico
|
+6.6 | 138.4 | 74% | 51–67 | ✓ |
Bowling Green
@
Miami (OH)
|
-3.1 | 144.1 | 35% | 77–96 | ✗ |
Central Michigan
@
Akron
|
+9.6 | 154.2 | 83% | 67–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.